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How To Stop Losing Money In Crypto.

Aaron Dishner aka Moonin Papa · 37m · transcribed 9d ago
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Speaker 1

0:02 80%. Four out of five traders don't make money trading in crypto or investing. So what are the other 20% doing to get it right? Is it really that hard to trade in crypto? And if it is, then why are so many of us trading? Well, obviously, because we've seen coins go up way more than 80%, 800%, 1,000%, 80,000%. But it's actually easier than most realize.

Speaker 1

0:32 But the problem is that no one actually has the patience to wait for the right conditions so that the 20% of us that are making money trading crypto long term actually continue to win, while the 80% walk away from trades, frustrated, upset, and they leave and they quit rage, quitting, and of course, dropping wonderful comments wherever they possibly can to poison the well, as it were, for crypto. Now, am I saying crypto is a perfect utopia of optimal entries every single day?

Speaker 1

1:03 No. We have our fair share of traps, scams, vaporware. It's not a perfect place. But there is an opportune time in cryptocurrency which makes it so exciting and unique compared to Forex, compared to commodities, compared to stocks, that that honestly is worth the wait. And the good news, the really good news is that we're heading into one of those moments right now.

Speaker 1

1:37 I want to tell you right now, the main reason why 80% of people don't make it in crypto is because they don't have patience. There is a fantastic saying that I love to say, hence the word saying that I want you just to take a second to write down. You can leave it in the comment section, or you can just write it down, put it on a sticky note, put it somewhere near your monitor or your laptop or your desk or wherever you trade.

Speaker 1

2:01 Ideally, it's a safe place where you have some privacy to think. I want you to write this down. You can use all caps, you can underline as many times as you want, but I want you to write, patience pays. There are so many people that will not wait at all for the market, and they will not wait for the best possible entries. I have rushed too many entries in my life. I've also chased too many late entries and missed opportunities, and I paid for it both ways.

Speaker 1

2:35 But when you start to understand it, unpack the cyclical nature of the cryptocurrency market, then everything starts to fall into place. Then you realize, well, being patient actually does pay off massive dividends, because it's more than just making a lot of money. It's making sure that you have money to even trade with in the first place. So cut to the quick, Aaron. What are you talking about? What I'm talking about is one chart and that one chart is others dominance.

Speaker 1

3:08 Now, fair warning, I'm filming this on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. So if you're seeing this after the fact, you're obviously not in the Better Traders club, which is fine. But people that are in the better traders club get access to these Sunday videos early. Why don't I make a video on Sunday? Because everybody deserves at least one day off. I mean, two days off is what most of you guys get on the weekends. So the reason why this chart is so important to crypto is because this one chart represents the entire crypto market cap, excluding the top 10 coins.

Speaker 1

3:46 Now that sounds like a whole lot of hogwash Nonsense. I understand. Let me help you out over here. So I have a watch list right now of the current top 200 coins, okay. And I've taken out all of the, all the stable coins because they don't really matter. So top 10 coins that really matter would be Bitcoin, Ethereum, BNB, XRP, Solana, Tron, Zcash, Hype, Doge, and that stops about there.

Speaker 1

4:16 Link a little bit maybe, kind of, sort of. It just depends. And this is always changing, it's always fluctuating. By the time that you guys see this video, there might have been a newcomer or we might have seen a coin drop below. But the main thing is that these are the mainstays for now. A crypto that everyone knows and talks about for the most part. That's why they're at the top 10. But the point of this video is actually not the top 10.

Speaker 1

4:40 The point is that the top 10 are relatively boring. Safe but boring. Bitcoin has seen dramatically lower returns every single bull market. Ethereum. Do not even get me started. Ethereum's performance in this previous bull market, quote unquote, was abysmal at best, where it really only moved up. I mean, if we're going to go over here in 2022 or 2023, where things really got started, it moved up 300% and it basically eked out just above the previous all time high in November.

Speaker 1

5:14 So what I'm saying isn't wrong. Whether you love Ethereum or you hate it, it doesn't matter. The top 10 tokens are fairly boring, except for Zcash and Hype, which have done exceptionally well. But these are newcomers. If we look at a lot of the old comers, oldcomers, a lot of the older coins Like Doge, like Cardano, like xlm, Bitcoin, cash, litecoin, they have not performed terribly well. Now this goes back to others and this is why this is so important and why now is the time to pay attention.

Speaker 1

5:45 Because we know that the top 10 coins in crypto, while they are safe, bitcoin is the safest, hands down. Everything else is a gamble. But we know that the lower you go down the market cap ranking, yes, the higher, exponentially higher the risk becomes to trade, buy, trade and hold those coins. But the potential ROI return on investment for a lot of those low cap coins goes up exponentially. Just as much, if not even more.

Speaker 1

6:18 How many coins recently have we seen, even in the last six months, shoot up over 10,000%? If you're saying, I don't know, I don't think there are any, trust me, there are. But here's the thing. Those are one offs. Those are little firecrackers that just go pop and everybody goes, hey, look at that. That looks fun. They chase and then it's done. What I'm trying to show you right here and what I'm talking to you about is an incredible window of opportunity where the 80% of you most of the time that aren't making money are going to quickly turn into the 20% that will be making money.

Speaker 1

6:57 But you need to pay attention. Others dominance shows us how money is flowing in and out of all these coins. Outside of the top 10. Why the top 10? Because the top 10 are boring and slow and everything below it. Very high risk, but potentially very lucrative at the right time. That right time is getting really close. What I say is the right time, we're going to have to change time frames here so that way you can see it, no pun intended, on the weekly time frame.

Speaker 1

7:36 Others dominance has seen a disastrous, terrible crash in terms of performance from January 2022. And here's the 1010 low dropping 75%. But really, let's just count the drop here in December 2025. It's fallen down 66% over just about four years. And one of the loudest advocates against others who has been raised right for the majority of the time has been Ben Cowan.

Speaker 1

8:10 Love him or hate him, he's been right. Bitcoin dominance has been wildly outperforming everything else, which is great. Good job, bitcoin, you did it. Now the thing that's interesting though is that we are getting closer to a bullish reversal for others dominance where bitcoin dominance, it could do well. But this chart right here, this is this is basically our gravy train and our gravy train is about to leave the station.

Speaker 1

8:43 Here's where things get realistic. We've seen a 60 around it to 67, a 67% drawdown over the last four years. That ain't gonna change. Bitcoin dominance is still very strong, alive and well, and doing an exceptional job of reminding us who's king. Bitcoin is king, it's true. But here's the thing. There is a time to trade against bitcoin and those moments are very fleeting but exceptionally rewarding.

Speaker 1

9:17 And those little streaks, those little seasons, whether it's three months or it's three weeks, whatever it is, can be exceptionally rewarding. Basically down the line, like almost shooting like fish in a barrel. There are several things that we have to be aware of before we start getting super excited. And I've already been preparing people in the Better Traders Club and I've been telling you guys on YouTube as well, you guys aren't really ready.

Speaker 1

9:48 You really don't know what's coming next. And this is why I've been so annoyingly vocal about this. So let me help you out. We're going to hide all the proprietary indicators. We're just going to focus on support and resistance. We have established a high in January 2022 and the next lower high in March 2024. There was one glorious moment where others dominance almost surpassed long term overhead resistance.

Speaker 1

10:20 You know when that was is back over here in December 2024. What happened leading up to that? Hmm, that's right. That 43% increase that happened over five weeks was the Trump pump. That was the Trump election pump. Whether you agree with it or not, this was great for crypto. I mean, insane, insane potential. But before that, there's also a massive rally that happened back over here starting in June, lasting a long time. Up 66% over 41 or 42 weeks.

Speaker 1

10:51 This one up 43% in five weeks. So again, please don't get hung up on the word alt season. It doesn't have to be a full season. Three months, it could be three weeks, it could be three months, it could be three days. Three days actually is not a lot. No, no, no, no, no, no, no. It's going to be longer than that. But here's the thing. One of the best parts about drawing these lines, and I know a lot of you think of these as tea leaves, as astrology for men, is not because the price tells the story every time, the chart tells the story every single time.

Speaker 1

11:30 And we Know that others dominance has been getting weaker and weaker and weaker. But the thing is this, ever since here in August, the end of August, we've seen a sharp increase 25% in five weeks. And what's amazing right now is that we're just seeing a nice solid increase and others dominance got dangerously close to piercing and pushing above long term overhead resistance.

Speaker 1

12:02 Aaron, your drawings and your arrows, they look very professional. Your indicators are confusing. Just tell me. See that line? See that line right there? When we see this chart, others dominance go like this, pop and it breaks above that and it shoots up. It will be the first time closing above that since December 2024 almost two years ago. When this happens, when this happens, we will most likely see a very big shift to everything below the top 10.

Speaker 1

12:44 All those alts that we've been accumulating for months, waiting on, filling up our bags on and feeling very tired and exhausted watching all of these charts, going up and down, feeling seasick, feeling like we're on the Titanic when in actuality our Titanic is a Tesla Roadster and we're about to go this way. Well maybe not that high, maybe like up here. Now this rally that is to come, you need to know the pattern.

Speaker 1

13:20 Okay. And this is where this chart is super helpful because it's giving us basically a starting line to cross and we've not even gotten started yet. There are two other charts that I'm going to share with you that they're super easy to track. Everything that I'm doing right here you guys can do too. And I want you to do this on Trading View as well so that way you can track it yourself. But before I get to that I need you guys to go to the Better Traders so that way you can laugh at the images of.

Speaker 1

13:49 I don't, this is not my idea but I need you to go here. What I'm talking about I've actually already alluded to many times which is in this Recovery Year playbook. It is a free resource from the better traders and it's designed to help you conquer the recovery year or this next phase which I think is arguably the most important phase out of the top bottom recovery rally phases or years that happen in crypto. This is a free guide.

Speaker 1

14:20 A free resource costs you nothing, not a zip. And it's chock full of information to help you. Another resource like I mentioned before is the Better Traders Club. And the Better Traders Club is awesome. Not just because you get early access to Sunday videos. You guys literally have no idea what is coming. I have been working like a dog to improve the Better Traders Club and we've seen some pretty amazing things like the Oracle bot. We know that the tbo you get access to that too.

Speaker 1

14:49 That's. That's really cool. It's really fun. Honestly it is. Literally I can't say anything else. I am so excited what we are building. It's worth it. Just check it out. And I also want to encourage you guys if you are in North America and or whatever the jurisdictions that are allowed for Kalshi, you guys should consider using the link to sign up for Kalshi down below. Because if you sign up with my link down below that one right over there and you trade 50 on call she you're going to automatically be entered to earn earn and win.

Speaker 1

15:25 Not earn, win a 500 trading bonus. And even if you don't win the bonus, you're still going to get a $25 kickback. A bonus just to say you're awesome. So use that link to sign up down below. You also get a $25 bonus by trading $50 into prediction markets as well. The two other charts I want to share with you today again super easy stuff. So the first thing to do just copy me draw this line.

Speaker 1

15:50 You're going to go over here to the trend lines right here. It's the first one and the reason why mine keeps going like this by the way. If you go over here to the style, you're just going to choose this option here. Extend right line. Perfect. If you don't want to do that you can just set an alert for when others goes above this level and you can just set an alert like this go to 9%.

Speaker 1

16:11 Great. Add an alert. Done. The other charts I want to share with you is just the others market cap. The others market cap chart is great because this shows us basically the the level of bullishness of the top. Everything below the top 10. It is glaringly obvious that there is a huge huge decrease in performance from back over here in 2015 November up to the peak in 2017 we saw the others market cap increase by 236,000 thousand percent from 3.

Speaker 1

16:48 Sorry 33 million to 78 billion. Massive cool off. Massive reckoning from the bottom in 2018 to the top in 2021 a huge increase of 8,773%. So how are we looking this time around? Well from December 2022 up to the top is only 515%. The reason why it felt like we got cheated out of a real rally is because we had the rally in the weirdest spot possible because of multiple factors.

Speaker 1

17:19 And the main factor is actually right over here in October 2023. Just a quick history lesson because this is important and this totally plays into what I'm sharing with you today on October. Well, the week of October 16, 2023, before the Bitcoin Spot ETF was actually announced, there were rumors flying online that it was approved. It wasn't. It was just rumors. And those rumors got the market really excited. Funny story about rumors that at the right time, a very bullish rumor can really work wonders on the market to force a rally.

Speaker 1

17:58 This rally happened way too early, way, way, way ahead of schedule. And there was a big smackdown from March 2024 down here into August 2024. But lo and behold, what did we have? We had another bullish event, which in November. This is our Trump pump effect up 138%. Okay, we had two very, very good rallies. Were these thousand percent rallies plus? No. And to be honest, the others chart did not even exceed the high set in November 2021.

Speaker 1

18:34 One of the biggest reasons why the others market cap did not rally up higher is that this period right here, we saw a massive increase in memes. And memes have wildly diluted the entire crypto market cap for the worse. Memes are a curse. I think memes are awful and I think it absolutely obliterated this chart. But you know what's funny? Time heals all wounds.

Speaker 1

19:06 And for the most part, people are forgetting about memes. Some people are trading them. Good for them. But memes most likely will not make a comeback. Just like the main rally up here was driven by Ethereum and NFTs. Just like the main rally over here was driven by ICOs. Those haven't really come back at all. Nor will they. So the important thing to think about right now and rather to identify is what is going to drive the next rally.

Speaker 1

19:33 Is it going to be an established news event like an election? Don't think so. Is it going to be a new narrative? Yes, most likely. What is that going to be? Well, personally, I think it's going to be AI, but it could be whatever. And crypto is always changing. But it's important to remember that very rarely do we see narratives repeat themselves. There's something really important about this chart that I want you to copy me on.

Speaker 1

20:03 Okay, first off, you don't need to have these exact levels of this rectangle, but you're going to go over here to this section where it shows a brush and you're Going to go down to the rectangle shape. You're just going to draw something around here. Taking the top in 2021 down to about 280 billion. Okay, this is just an arbitrary range. But what's really important to notice about this range is that every single time that Others Market Cap has pushed into this area, it has reached the top of a euphoric pump.

Speaker 1

20:39 It doesn't mean that Others Market Cap cannot push above this level. It is in no way a level of resistance that will never ever be broken. But over the last several years we have seen that this has been a termination zone. The volatility index, which I look at six days a week, also has a similar termination zone. And once the VIX gets up there, it retreats. This is different, but it's kind of similar.

Speaker 1

21:10 My sneaking suspicion is that once there's enough gas on this flame for others to go up higher, when we see others starting to push up into this range, where we've previously seen bearish reversals, whether it's here in September 2025, whether it's here in December 2024, here in March 2024, here in November 21, sorry, November 2021 or in May 2021, we have seen five solid reversals and exceptionally overheated conditions.

Speaker 1

21:48 Once we see the Others market cap surpass the 280 billion mark, could it go up beyond this and higher and higher? I mean, I'm all for it. I don't know if it's going to happen, but I'm definitely all for it. I am on board, but it's more about paying attention to the signs and the symbols and the things that happen in sequence, in order. So the pump that we saw in August this year was a big surprise to me.

Speaker 1

22:20 On the week at the 17th of August we saw Bitcoin pump up crazy amount and it shot up the Others market Cap as well by 23% and it bounced up 63% in about six weeks. What's exciting is not the big bump. What's exciting is that others dominance is now starting to push up towards a historical level of resistance. And if it pushes above resistance, then guess what's most likely going to happen next?

Speaker 1

22:50 That's right. The Others Market Cap will actually be able to push into this top zone. When we see others hit 280 and start to knock on this and going up higher and higher, I want you to notice a couple of things. And this is going to help you make a ton of profit. Let's start back over here. I want you to see this. Okay, for starters, the rally happens well in advance. The rally is existing for a long time and then we start to get a little bit exhausted.

Speaker 1

23:25 Okay? But even hitting this first time, and this is again done in retrospect. So I wasn't looking at this, nor was I marking out this level or drawing it out back in 2021, I was just enjoying the market. Okay, but here's the thing. What we should be paying attention to for starters is that there will be a big push. You don't want to take profits too early. You do not want to be in a position where you buy the dip and you're feeling good and you're up 50% and you go, oh, that's amazing.

Speaker 1

23:55 On a close only to see it rally up 200%. I don't want that for you. I don't want that for me. So how do we fix that problem? We take out little clips of profit selling into strength. We never want to sell into fear because we're not going to get a good price. Okay. The second thing is that now that we have this range established, I want you to notice how long we see these charts.

Speaker 1

24:27 You know, in retrospect, staying above these levels back over here in April is six bars or basically it was six weeks here in August 2021 up until, I mean honestly it stated here for a long time, it's up there for 36 weeks. Trust me, over here after November 2021, it was not a bull market, not at all. That's when we pivoted into a bear market. But just bear with me, okay? It was quite a while. If we zoom ahead, we can see back over here again the same story.

Speaker 1

24:57 Had a nice rally, got going some chop, a little bit, A little bit chop. And then we go up higher and higher and higher. But we are still up in this range for quite a while. From the middle of late February actually over here until the drop in April for about seven weeks, we're in that zone. If we go back over here in November again, we started with a big rally, pushed up and closed 18th of November and then finally exited about 11 weeks later.

Speaker 1

25:27 And then the last one, the last hurrah was back over here was about 12 or 13 weeks in July 2025. And that's where we were done. There's the 1010 dump. That's when we look back at the performance and the duration of the others market cap. Once it starts, you'll notice a similar pattern. For all of these moments, there's going to be some Sort of a rally. And the price or the market cap stays inside of this zone for quite a while.

Speaker 1

26:04 Your job, in order to flip from the 80 to the 20%, from the people that don't make as much money or lose money in crypto to the people that make money, here's what you need to do. You don't sell too early, but you still sell some. How much? 5%, 10%? Whatever you want. But if you sell too much too early, you are handicapping your ability to make a very handsome return after things go crazy. Number two, once we get up into this zone, we're most likely going to stay above 280 between six weeks, maybe 12 weeks.

Speaker 1

26:40 The important thing is to pay attention, not to when we hit the zone. And then I sell everything. Oh no, no, no, no, no. Because like back over here, November, we hit this zone and then the market moved up another 60%. You will be amazed to see charts and you're up 100%. Like, well, this feels good. I'll sell a lot here only to go up another 300% after that and some freak pump. It'll happen. Yes, it's important to take profits.

Speaker 1

27:09 If you are going to take a screenshot, you better be taking profits first. There's going to be a rally that leads up to it and then once we go up higher, what you'll notice this is the third part. It's a little bit of a secret in that I just, my thoughts are a little bit loosey goosey. So I'm not really, I'm not trying to withhold anything. It's just I'm trying to help you guys and I'm also trying to think through things.

Speaker 1

27:35 As the market unwinds, there will be a rally. We're going to see a big euphoric push and then we're going to get a warning shot. What's a warning shot Right there, that's a warning shot. The week of 19th April. Warning shot over here. This is a warning shot in October. That was a big one. Even though it moved up higher. We go over here, we got a warning shot. But that was it. Like that was it.

Speaker 1

28:03 One and done right there. Wham, bam, thank you, man. In April, that was it. Our warning shot over here was on the 9th and 16th December. Our warning shot over here happened real fast right there. It's the week of the 28th of July. What's a warning shot? A warning shot is an early, pretty dangerous, pretty deep sell off event that happens that freaks out the market.

Speaker 1

28:35 Short Term either basically telling the market that's the top or it's about to top out. So you better be careful. I made a video about bitcoin, have like a one, two punch pattern. I still think that's going to happen. We still really haven't had a massive 20% pullback. I think we will. But the main thing is that we're focusing on this chart. Once we see others dominance, I'm sorry, others market cap go up, start to push above 280 and it starts to feel really good.

Speaker 1

29:11 Don't be surprised if we get a little bit of turbulence and that big turbulent move will liquidate a lot of late over levered longs. It'll get a lot of people shorting the market too early and it's going to create a whipsaw moment in the market. It's going to be brutal liquidations on both sides, longs and shorts and then the market will continue up a little bit. Your job is to stay vigilant, to stay sober.

Speaker 1

29:42 If you know that we are already at this threshold, you know we're near the end of the rally. As soon as we get that little move where the floor gets taken out from under us, you know that the move should be done. That's where you should be scaling out. The last sober reminder I have for you, and this is the one you're going to like the least, is the weekly chart is very, very deceiving. Looking at this, it's like, well, duh, you should have known this in hindsight.

Speaker 1

30:13 No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. I want you to pay attention to how long it was from when it dropped below until it went into the zone. 96 weeks. 96 weeks, almost two years. This other zone right here, this other. It dropped over here in May 2024. Then finally 23 weeks later, so much more forgiving over here. Took about. We'll call this one 22 weeks.

Speaker 1

30:45 And right now, looking at where we are from the 1010 dump to now, we're going on 55 weeks. I want to soberly remind you that when we get up into this zone, it's going to be a long time, a very long time until we ever get this super bullish again. It will be the most opportunistic moment again where we're going to flip the 8020 rule and you're going to do well, if you remember to take some profit on the way up.

Speaker 1

31:23 If you remember that once we get above 280, we're very close to the end of the rally. If you Remember that it will be months, if not years till we see others looking bullish again. If you can keep all this stuff in the back pocket in the back of your mind, you'll do just fine. The last chart and I promised that I would show you is Others btc.

Speaker 1

31:53 Again, everything is about others and the reason why is because the to the others market cap everything below the top 10 is just so important. What do you notice about this chart? We're at the precipice of greatness. We are right at the beginning of some sort of crazy rally that could potentially happen.

Speaker 1

32:26 Actually, like my chart. Just give me a quick minute because I have all my drawings on this one. Here's the thing. Using that same concept of the others market cap chart. Go ahead and copy me. It's just again like it's a very rough estimate. It's not like this is the definite rejection zone because we are in a rejection zone for a really long time. Admittedly so I am just cautiously eyeing things. But here's the thing. You should be looking at this where we are right here and about to get up into this toppy zone.

Speaker 1

33:00 We could stay very toppy for quite a while. The fact that others against BTC it even pushed above resistance last month. It's setting up to do that and it's actually setting up to go inside of this toppy zone. Like it could push up really high. It. It honestly could. We could see others BTC move up a lot higher. And all this chart is telling us is how much more others is going to outperform bitcoin. Meaning everything.

Speaker 1

33:28 Not everything. But coins below the top 10 should be outperforming bitcoin. Period. Bitcoin will do well but all these low cap coins should do much better. Much more. Well, much better. there are a lot of conditions to this setup. It is not a 100% surefire thing. But what I am 100% confident about is that 80% of all traders and investors in crypto they lose money because they don't know when not to get reckless but when to take a more risk on attitude to the market.

Speaker 1

34:21 And the three charts that I just shared with you, that's the gold mine literally right there. So others dominance spiking above 9%. Giddy up. Others market cap breaching 280 billion. Let's go. And others BTC is already above. It's already pushed above long term overhead resistance and pushing up even higher into that rejection zone to that euphoric zone. The pitfalls of every single rally selling too Much too early.

Speaker 1

34:56 Not paying attention to the warning shots which will 100% happen because the market will become over leveraged. And then not protecting profits, knowing that it could be six months to a year until we have another similar rally. I don't have a crystal ball. I don't know if this is going to happen right now or next week. But there are so many of these signs and there's a lot of momentum building right now that is leading up to this epic sendoff.

Speaker 1

35:34 It's difficult to remain sober when it's been weeks. No, scratch that. Months, maybe years since we've had a significant rally that's almost upon us. I know a lot of people are going to disagree with me and that's fine. But if anything that you get from this video, if you can understand those profit taking strategies, if you can understand how to recognize those signs in the market when it's having pullbacks, when it's flashing those warning signs, you will do so well in crypto because it's a highly volatile yet highly forgiving market.

Speaker 1

36:09 Which is why I'm still here. I'm not going to go anywhere. You need to do me a solid. You've watched this video all the way up to this point. You haven't hit the like button. Shame. Oh, and double shame. You haven't even thought about sharing this. Are you serious? You're gonna keep this all to yourself? No, no, no, no, no, no. You're gonna help me by sharing this video to help me reach my target of hitting 100,000 subs and give you guys gold.

Speaker 1

36:31 So it's time to collect. So share this video with other people that are trading, other people that are considering investing again. This is not. I'm not saying it's gonna happen, it's gonna happen right now. But everything I just shared with you, when it does happen, trust me, you will thank me. And so all the people that you shared this video with, I want you to watch this video next. I talked about that recovery year playbook. I wanna break that down a little bit more for you in this video.

Speaker 1

36:58 So watch this next. Until the next time you have to do Stylesman, stay in the green. Peace.

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